Risk, Uncertainty, and Cognitive Bias
Distinguish between risk (decisions with known probabilities) and uncertainty (decisions with unknown outcomes); identify cognitive biases that distort risk assessment: availability heuristic (judging likelihood by how easily examples come to mind), present bias (overvaluing the immediate over the future), optimism bias (underestimating personal risk), and groupthink; understand why adolescent brains are biologically calibrated toward higher risk tolerance; apply a structured decision-making framework to real choices; understand the role of personal values in decisions where facts alone cannot determine the answer
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“Can your child explain why taking a risk isn't always irrational — and describe one cognitive bias that causes people to misjudge risk in their everyday decisions, such as why teenagers tend to underestimate certain dangers?”
Curriculum record
- Type
- Conceptual
- Subject
- Personal & Social Development
- Domain
- Responsible Decision-Making
- Age range
- Ages 11–12