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Calculating Simple Probability

Calculate the probability of a simple event with equally likely outcomes using the formula: probability = number of favourable outcomes ÷ total number of possible outcomes; express the result as a fraction in its simplest form; apply to rolling dice, drawing from bags, and other simple chance situations

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If there are 3 red and 7 blue balls in a bag, can your child work out the probability of picking a red one and express it as a fraction in its simplest form?

Calculate the probability of a simple event with equally likely outcomes using the formula: probability = number of favourable outcomes ÷ total number of possible outcomes; express the result as a fraction in its simplest form; apply to rolling dice, drawing from bags, and other simple chance situations

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Check understanding

  • Calculate the probability of drawing a blue marble from a bag of 3 blue and 7 red as 3/10
  • Use the formula P(event) = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes to solve at least three different problems
  • Explain why increasing the number of favourable outcomes increases the probability
“If there are 3 red and 7 blue balls in a bag, can your child work out the probability of picking a red one and express it as a fraction in its simplest form?”

Curriculum record

Type
Procedural
Subject
Mathematics
Domain
Probability
Age range
Ages 10–11